Ria Dernikovic vs Anastasiya Zaparyniuk Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent form, Ria Dernikovic marginally outperforms Anastasiya Zaparyniuk on their second serve, winning 34.20% of points compared to 32.65%. Could this slight edge make a difference? It's possible since second serve points are often pivotal.
• When returning, Anastasiya Zaparyniuk holds a slight advantage with a 50.00% success rate against opponents' second serves versus Ria Dernikovic's 47.09%. This could be crucial in breaking serve.
• Analyzing first serve returns, Ria Dernikovic surpasses Anastasiya Zaparyniuk, winning 39.37% of points, compared to Zaparyniuk's 37.53%. This might enhance Dernikovic’s chances to stay competitive in rallies.
• Under pressure, Zaparyniuk has a slightly better breakpoint saving ability at 39.36% compared to Dernikovic's 37.80%. Will this skill help her fend off crucial points? It certainly enhances her resilience.
• Both players have similar win-loss ratios over the past year, with Zaparyniuk at 38.46% and Dernikovic at 37.50%. The head-to-head here offers little decisive edge.
• On their best surface, both players excel equally on clay, winning 49% of their matches. However, Ria Dernikovic’s overall clay win percentage at 32% in her career is slightly lower than her declared best, suggesting variability.
• In the Futures/ITF $10K circuit, Zaparyniuk has performed better with a 45.00% win rate, while Dernikovic stands at 36.36%. Who benefits more from the level at which they are competing?
• Anastasiya Zaparyniuk has faced tougher competition over the last year, with opponents averaging a rank of 219.08 compared to Dernikovic's average opponent rank of 250.69, implying she’s used to stiffer competition.
• If this match progresses to a deciding set, Ria Dernikovic has a slight edge, winning 20% of deciding sets compared to Zaparyniuk's 17% over the last 12 months. This might affect the outcome if the match is tightly contested.

Editorial Prediction (October 28, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Anastasiya Zaparyniuk and Ria Dernikovic promises to be a closely contested battle, based primarily on their recent statistics and performance patterns.

Dernikovic shows a slight edge in winning points on her second serve and first serve returns, which could contribute significantly to her ability to maintain service games and apply pressure on Zaparyniuk’s serve. Meanwhile, Zaparyniuk's superior performance when returning second serves and her breakpoint saving percentage suggest she can turn matches in her favor by breaking serve more efficiently.

Playing experience speaks volumes, and Zaparyniuk's encounter with higher-ranked opponents in the past year demonstrates her ability to maintain performance under tougher circumstances. However, if the match reaches a deciding set, Dernikovic's slightly better set-winning record could be a defining factor.

Overall, considering these factors, Anastasiya Zaparyniuk is slightly favored to win, given her consistent performance against stronger competition and her effective return game, which might be decisive on the day of the event.